Light · 3 rounds · UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit
Jared Gordon v Melquizael Costa
Our pickMelquizael Costa to win on the cards
💬FormPicks Commentary
Gordon getting Costa to the ground decides this, since that wipes out Costa's 3.0in reach edge. I like Costa on the cards, most likely by decision, and this one probably goes the distance. Gordon taking him down or out-striking him on volume is what could undo it. Costa's younger and takes less damage, so I'm siding with him.
How this fight goes
🥊How it ends
Who wins and how. Six outcomes in one bar - the seam between the colours is the win chance.
Jared Gordon wins by KO 9%, by submission 6%, on the cards 24%. Melquizael Costa wins by KO 15%, by submission 10%, on the cards 36%.
⏱The distance
Our finish chance, spread across the rounds by when UFC finishes actually land. The columns add up to the finish figure on the pick and the line ends on the chance it reaches the judges.
What's driving the pick
🧮Factor breakdown
Green favours Melquizael Costa, red runs against them. Every figure is measured as it stood going into this fight.
Head to head
Striking
Grappling
Finishing
Longer bar is the better side of each row. Every figure is measured as it stood going into this fight.
FormPicks Momentum Meter
50 = a .500 fighterHow each fighter is actually going - the career, the last three weighted by what each was worth, and their most recent night. The longer the bar, the better the form.
Jared Gordon
Melquizael Costa
How their fights end
Every UFC fight, by the round it ended3 round fights
Jared Gordon
9 of 17 to the cards · 6 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
Melquizael Costa
5 of 9 to the cards · 3 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
Dec
5 round fights
Jared Gordon
none yetR1
R2
R3
R4
R5
Dec
Melquizael Costa
1 of 1 to the cards · 0 inside two roundsR1
R2
R3
R4
R5
Dec