Grizzlies at Kings - NBA Tips & Prediction | FormPicks

Friday 23 October

Friday 23 October

Completed · Pick landed

Regular Season · Golden 1 Center

Kings

21-33

129-125

Grizzlies

28-26

📋 Post game review

🤝 We had it too close to call

The Kings edged a tight one

We had it too close to call, and the Kings won 129-125.

On the play there was next to nothing between them.

The result, against how they played

SAC

MEM

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

We expected

SAC112

MEM111

too close to call, 222.9 total

Final

SAC129

MEM125

SAC by 4, 254 total

On the play

SAC123

MEM122

SAC by 1, shooting luck aside

⏱️How it unfolded

The score against the pace we expected, quarter by quarter.

The score, against the pace we expected

SACMEMWhat happenedWhat we expected (SAC 112, MEM 111)What the play deserved

SACMEMWhat happenedWhat we expected (SAC 112, MEM 111)What the play deserved

The Kings got 10 points ahead of the pace we expected in the second quarter, then it evened out by full time. A much higher scoring game than we expected.

Where it moved

▲ SAC better than we expected

+4Q137-35

+6Q233-26

-2Q327-29

-4Q432-35

▼ MEM better than we expected

The second quarter was where it moved most, 6 points better than our numbers for the Kings.

⚖️What decided it

Why the Kings won, and why the Grizzlies did not.

From the game

Made nineteen threes to their twelve
Looked after the ball, ten turnovers to their twenty
Lost the glass, 27 rebounds to 51
Beaten inside, 40 points in the paint to 58

Key battles

3Offensive rebounds11

8Fast break points19

10Turnovers20

2Blocks5

🏀Good plays, bad plays

The plays that went each side's way, and the ones each side did to itself.

Kings

Good plays

8-0 run
A 8-0 run took them from 2 down to 6 up
Q1 9:24 · SAC 15-9 MEM
10-0 run
A 10-0 run stretched a 2-point lead to 12
Q2 11:50 · SAC 47-35 MEM
10-0 run
A 10-0 run stretched a 5-point lead to 15
Q4 10:49 · SAC 107-92 MEM

Bad plays

Missed FT
De'Aaron Fox misses free throw 1 of 2
Q4 0:22 · SAC 122-116 MEM
Missed FT
De'Aaron Fox misses free throw 2 of 2
Q4 0:22 · SAC 122-116 MEM
Missed FT
Cory Joseph misses free throw 1 of 2
Q4 0:09 · SAC 124-121 MEM

Grizzlies

Good plays

8-0 run
A 8-0 run cut a 13-point deficit to 5
Q2 2:46 · SAC 64-59 MEM
8-0 run
A 8-0 run cut a 15-point deficit to 7
Q4 9:00 · SAC 107-100 MEM

Bad plays

Turnover
Dillon Brooks bad pass
Q4 2:36 · SAC 112-111 MEM
Turnover
Jaren Jackson Jr. turnover
Q4 1:07 · SAC 120-113 MEM
Missed FT
Ja Morant misses free throw 2 of 2
Q4 0:03 · SAC 127-125 MEM

📊The numbers

SAC		MEM
51%	Shooting from the field	51%
19	Threes made	12
49%	Three-point accuracy	40%
26	Free throws made	27
38	Rebounds	60
3	Offensive rebounds	11
22	Assists	25
40	Points in the paint	58
8	Fast break points	19
15	Points off turnovers	22
10	Turnovers	20
9	Steals	5
2	Blocks	5

🔍 What it means for this game

🤝Too close to call

Recent form does not split them

Their results, against how they played

MEM

SAC

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

Grizzlies4-1All to script

Four wins from their last five.

Last gamevTrail Blazers

Nothing far from their usual numbers.

Kings3-2Got a bit lucky

Three wins from their last five. The play was worth a little less than that.

Last gamevMavericks

Opponent shooting efficiency up 9.9 points on their last 5 average

Points allowed up 18 on their last 5 average

Three-point accuracy down 11.8 points on their last 5 average

GrizzliesLast 5 · 4-1

Wv POR111-104To script
W@ WSH106-99To script
L@ PHI107-119To script
W@ DAL121-107To script
Wv DET96-82To script

KingsLast 5 · 3-2

L@ DAL111-130To script
L@ MIL111-123To script
Wv SA122-102To script
Wv MIA105-97To script
Wv MIN113-109To script

Grizzlies

Last 5 · 4-1

Pretty much what we expected

Results

4

wins

We expected

–

wins, from our tips

Deserved

~4

wins, on how they played

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

Four wins from their last five games. How they played, the shooting luck aside, was worth about 4.

13 Feb · 13 Feb · HomeTo script

MEMGrizzlies111-104

PORTrail Blazers

A win

The numbers

MEM		POR
47%	Shooting from the field	37%
6	Threes made	13
26%	Three-point accuracy	35%
15	Free throws made	19
57	Rebounds	51
26	Assists	21

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly the better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 11 points to them

Why it went this way

Made six threes to their thirteen

Our tip for this game

10 Feb · 10 Feb · AwayTo script

WSHWizards99-106

MEMGrizzlies

A win

The numbers

MEM		WSH
42%	Shooting from the field	35%
5	Threes made	7
16%	Three-point accuracy	21%
15	Free throws made	22
62	Rebounds	50
19	Assists	25

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly the better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 11 points to them

Why it went this way

Won the glass, 62 rebounds to 50

Our tip for this game

8 Feb · 8 Feb · AwayTo script

PHI76ers119-107

MEMGrizzlies

A defeat

The numbers

MEM		PHI
41%	Shooting from the field	53%
5	Threes made	14
24%	Three-point accuracy	56%
26	Free throws made	9
40	Rebounds	50
25	Assists	34

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Little between them with the shooting luck taken out, worth about 3 points to the 76ers

Why it went this way

Made five threes to their fourteen
They shot well above their usual, fourteen of 25 from three
Lived at the line, 31 free throws to their fifteen

Our tip for this game

6 Feb · 6 Feb · AwayTo script

DALMavericks107-121

MEMGrizzlies

A win

The numbers

MEM		DAL
53%	Shooting from the field	36%
12	Threes made	17
48%	Three-point accuracy	40%
15	Free throws made	22
52	Rebounds	42
27	Assists	19

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly the better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 14 points to them

Why it went this way

Won the glass, 52 rebounds to 42

Our tip for this game

4 Feb · 4 Feb · HomeTo script

MEMGrizzlies96-82

DETPistons

A win

The numbers

MEM		DET
47%	Shooting from the field	35%
2	Threes made	8
12%	Three-point accuracy	31%
10	Free throws made	6
47	Rebounds	51
27	Assists	21

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly the better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 17 points to them

Why it went this way

Made two threes to their eight

Our tip for this game

Kings

Last 5 · 3-2

Pretty much what we expected

Results

3

wins

We expected

–

wins, from our tips

Deserved

~2

wins, on how they played

Hard done byDeservedGot lucky

Three wins from their last five games. How they played, the shooting luck aside, was worth about 2.

13 Feb · 13 Feb · AwayTo script

DALMavericks130-111

SACKings

A defeat

The numbers

SAC		DAL
41%	Shooting from the field	56%
12	Threes made	17
31%	Three-point accuracy	43%
17	Free throws made	17
40	Rebounds	47
26	Assists	34

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 12 points to the Mavericks

Why it went this way

Nothing out of the ordinary in the numbers.

Our tip for this game

11 Feb · 11 Feb · AwayTo script

MILBucks123-111

SACKings

A defeat

The numbers

SAC		MIL
42%	Shooting from the field	45%
14	Threes made	18
33%	Three-point accuracy	43%
13	Free throws made	19
49	Rebounds	55
23	Assists	26

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Second best, shooting luck aside, worth about 4 points to the Bucks

Why it went this way

They shot well above their usual, eighteen of 42 from three

Our tip for this game

9 Feb · 9 Feb · HomeTo script

SACKings122-102

SASpurs

A win

The numbers

SAC		SA
52%	Shooting from the field	51%
19	Threes made	7
54%	Three-point accuracy	29%
13	Free throws made	13
39	Rebounds	41
25	Assists	23

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Clearly the better side, shooting luck aside, worth about 9 points to them

Why it went this way

Made nineteen threes to their seven
Shot well above their usual, nineteen of 35 from three

Our tip for this game

8 Feb · 8 Feb · HomeTo script

SACKings105-97

MIAHeat

A win

The numbers

SAC		MIA
49%	Shooting from the field	44%
19	Threes made	12
43%	Three-point accuracy	30%
6	Free throws made	17
36	Rebounds	42
29	Assists	21

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Little between them with the shooting luck taken out

Why it went this way

Made nineteen threes to their twelve
They went cold, twelve of 40 from three
Could not get to the line, twelve free throws to their 25

Our tip for this game

4 Feb · 4 Feb · HomeTo script

SACKings113-109

MINTimberwolves

A win

The numbers

SAC		MIN
51%	Shooting from the field	44%
14	Threes made	13
52%	Three-point accuracy	34%
23	Free throws made	22
34	Rebounds	45
26	Assists	25

Our call going in

No tip on record for this one.

The play

Little between them with the shooting luck taken out, worth about 3 points to the Timberwolves

Why it went this way

Shot well above their usual, fourteen of 27 from three
Lost the glass, 34 rebounds to 45

Our tip for this game

Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NBA results and box scores for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.