Ipswich Town
1-0-1
Liverpool
0-2-0
Liverpool to win by the odd goal
Our ratings have them 8th in the league, Ipswich Town 19th.
Finished 5th last season, Ipswich Town are newly promoted.
How the result shapes up
Relative likelihood of each result - home win, draw, away win. Wider = more likely. Never shown as a price.
Likely scorelines
Most likely
1-2
Liverpool
9%
1-1
Draw
8%
2-2
Draw
7%
The exact scores our numbers rate most likely, across all three results, with the chance of each. Note how small even the leader is - a match can land on dozens of scores, so the top one is usually around one in eight. That is also why the leader here can be a draw score even when we are on one side to win, because a draw is one narrow cluster while a win is spread over several scores. Treat these as the shape of the game rather than a promise.
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Liverpool are the clear favourites here despite playing away. They sit 8th in our ratings against Ipswich's 19th, and that gap reflects a side that finished 5th last season against newly promoted opposition. Liverpool's sharper attacking and defensive balance, plus their tighter backline, give them a real edge in what looks like a 1-2 type of game. The key thing to watch is whether Ipswich can make their home advantage count early, because if Liverpool get on top, this could get away from the hosts quickly.
What's driving the pick
Bars show how far each factor swings the expected goal supremacy - built from team ratings, season scoring rates, home/away splits, recent form, rest days and home advantage. The final call is also cross-checked against market expectations where available.
Not available for this game: market odds, home/away splits.
Momentum Meter
50 = league averageIpswich Town
Liverpool
Season form guide
Predictions are statistical estimates built from public match data, cross-checked against market expectations where available - for information only, not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.