Fulham
0-0-2
Crystal Palace
0-0-2
Fulham - too close to call
Crystal Palace are without Chadi Riad (ruptured ACL).
Finished 11th last season, 4 places above Crystal Palace.
Home advantage - in front of their own crowd.
How the result shapes up
Relative likelihood of each result - home win, draw, away win. Wider = more likely. Never shown as a price.
Likely scorelines
Most likely
1-1
Draw
11%
2-1
Fulham
9%
1-2
Crystal Palace
7%
The exact scores our numbers rate most likely, across all three results, with the chance of each. Note how small even the leader is - a match can land on dozens of scores, so the top one is usually around one in eight. That is also why the leader here can be a draw score even when we are on one side to win, because a draw is one narrow cluster while a win is spread over several scores. Treat these as the shape of the game rather than a promise.
💬 FormPicks Commentary
Fulham edge this one at home, though it's tight. They finished well clear of Palace last season and have the crowd behind them, but both sides are loose defensively and neither creates chances at a high rate, so this has all the hallmarks of a low-scoring affair. Palace play better than their results suggest and travel reasonably well, which means a draw looks the most likely outcome. Watch whether Fulham can break down a Palace side that sits deep and invites pressure - if they can't find a cutting pass early, this could be a frustrating evening.
What's driving the pick
Bars show how far each factor swings the expected goal supremacy - built from team ratings, season scoring rates, home/away splits, recent form, rest days and home advantage. The final call is also cross-checked against market expectations where available.
Not available for this game: market odds, home/away splits.
Momentum Meter
50 = league averageFulham
Crystal Palace
Fulham
Give away more good chances than most sides in the league.
Struggle to create - one of the least dangerous attacks in the league for chances created.
Crystal Palace
Unlucky in front of goal - scoring well below what their chances deserve.
Playing better than their results show - the table undersells them.
Give away more good chances than most sides in the league.
Sit deep and defend in numbers, happy to let opponents have the ball.
Season form guide
Predictions are statistical estimates built from public match data, cross-checked against market expectations where available - for information only, not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.