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English Premier League · Matchday 3

Hull City

8th · 2-3-1

0-0

Aston Villa

16th · 1-2-3

Line-ball

Hull City too close to call

  • Sit 8th on the table, 8 places above Aston Villa.
  • Aston Villa are missing Amadou Onana and João Manzambi.
  • Kept a clean sheet in 3 of their last 6 games.
  • Home advantage - in front of their own crowd.
  • Winless in their last 4 games.
  • Draw a lot - 3 of their 6 games this season have finished level.

💬 Our read

Hull City have the edge here, mainly because they're at home where they'll have their crowd behind them. Aston Villa are playing better than their results suggest and creating chances, but they're struggling to finish - they're scoring well below what they should be from their opportunities. This looks like a tight match that could easily end level, so don't be surprised if both sides cancel each other out. Watch whether Villa can finally convert their chances into goals, because if they do, their underlying quality could show.

What's driving the pick

Momentum Meter

50 = league average

Hull City

Last seasonno data
Seasonnot played yet
Last 5not played yet
Last gamenot played yet

Aston Villa

Last season38 games
Season2 games
Last 52 games
Last gamemost recent

⚖️How the result shapes up

Hull CityDrawAston Villa

Relative likelihood of each result - home win, draw, away win. Wider = more likely. Never shown as a price.

Likely scorelines

Most likely

1-1

Draw

13%

1-0

Hull City

10%

2-1

Hull City

9%

The exact scores our numbers rate most likely, across all three results, with the chance of each. A match can land on dozens of scores, so even the leader is usually around one in eight, and it can be a draw score while we are on one side to win. Treat these as the shape of the game rather than a promise.

🧮Factor breakdown

How far each factor swings the expected goal supremacy - team ratings, scoring rates, home and away splits, recent form, rest and home advantage.

◀ Hull CityAston Villa ▶
Overall rating
Attack vs defence
Home/away form
Recent form
Rest & schedule
Home advantage

Bars show how far each factor swings the expected goal supremacy - built from team ratings, season scoring rates, home/away splits, recent form, rest days and home advantage. The final call is also cross-checked against market expectations where available.

Not available for this game: market odds, home/away splits.

🏆Season form guide

Hull City
Aston Villa
Position816
W-D-L2-3-11-2-3
Points95
Goals for / game1.31.0
Goals against / game1.01.8
Last 5––

Predictions are statistical estimates built from public match data, cross-checked against market expectations where available - for information only, not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.