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FormPicksSunday 20 September
Week 2· DivisionalState Farm Stadium· Fine
Cardinals
1-0
vMon, 21 Sept, 6:25 am AEST
Seahawks
1-0
Our PickSlight Lean
Seahawks to win
Margin2Total45 pts
🗳Do You Agree?
33 votesWinner
Seahawks
55% agree
Line
By 2+
83% more
Total
45 pts
52% over
💬 FormPicks Commentary
The Seahawks come in as the sharper outfit here - they're road warriors with a 9-1 away record, they put up 28.4 points a game, and their defence is stingy at 17.2 conceded. They also finished last season on a 10-game winning run and have had extra rest. Arizona limped home losing their last 9, conceded 28.7 points a game, and finished 29th overall, though they do play tight at home and love one-score affairs. The key thing to watch is whether Drew Lock can run the Seahawks' offence smoothly without Sam Darnold, who's dealing with lower body soreness and is doubtful.
🗣️
Public Opinion
The room is with usSeahawks 60%40%
Arizona's opening win over the Chargers has people buzzing, but Seattle's defensive record and their run of dominance in this fixture still carry more weight with us.
The room's split roughly matches ours, most of the noise is about whether Arizona's fast start is real or a mirage, and if LaFleur really has this team playing above its level then Arizona closes the gap fast, but until proven over a tougher week we are sticking with Seattle's steadier hand.
Public Opinion Key Callouts
Form15 mentions
There's real debate about whether Arizona's opening upset over the Chargers was a genuine signal or a one-off high that wears off once real competition arrives.
FormPicks Response · Already in our call
We already had Arizona's leaky defence and last year's nine-game slide in mind, so one good week against the Chargers does not undo that for us.
Rivalry8 mentions
Seattle's long run of dominance in this fixture keeps getting raised as a reason to back the Seahawks even with their quarterback situation in flux.
FormPicks Response · Backs our call
Seattle's grip on this fixture lines up with what we already saw in their miserly defence and that ten-game finish, so this just adds another reason to trust the same lean.
Coach8 mentions
People are split on whether new Cardinals coach Mike LaFleur has genuinely got this team playing above itself or whether normal service is about to resume against tougher opposition.
FormPicks Response · Could move us
If LaFleur has genuinely changed how this Cardinals team plays rather than just catching Sunday's Chargers side sleeping, that is the one thing that could flip our call.
What's driving the pick
Factor breakdown
◀ CardinalsSeahawks ▶
Overall rating
EPA per play
Recent form
Home field
Rest & bye week
Availability
Bars show how far each factor swings the projected margin. Built from ELO ratings, expected points added per play on both sides of the ball, recent form, home field, rest days and the injury report - never from betting markets.
Cardinals
❄️
Limped to the line last season - lost their last 9.
🕳️
Leaky at the back - shipping 28.7 points a game last season.
😬
Live in one-score games - 10 of theirs last season decided by 8 points or fewer.
🐶
Finished last season 29th in the league.
Seahawks
🛡️
Miserly defence - conceding just 17.2 points a game last season.
🔥
Finished last season on a 10-game winning streak.
🎆
Explosive offence - putting up 28.4 points a game last season.
🚌
Road warriors - 9-1 away from home last season.
💥
When they win, they win big - 15 points the average winning margin last season.
😬
Live in one-score games - 10 of theirs last season decided by 8 points or fewer.
📊
Team Stats · Head to Head
How each side is actually playing. A season figure marked with a year is last year's, until that side has three games on the board this one. The last 5 and last game always run back from its most recent outing, whichever season that fell in.
⚡
Momentum
Cardinals
2025 season17 games
Last 55 games, 4 from 2025
Last gamemost recent
Seahawks
2025 season20 games
Last 55 games, 4 from 2025
Last gamemost recent
Last Game Key Callouts
v
Patriotsv
ChargersPenalty yards Up 57 on their last 5 average
Defence EPA / play allowed Down 0.36 on their last 5 average
Penalty yards Up 60 on their last 5 average
📋
The Meters Behind It
SeasonLast 5Last game
Offence EPA / play
Cardinals-0.01’25+0.02+0.12Seahawks+0.06’25+0.09+0.06
Defence EPA / play allowed
Cardinals+0.08’25+0.12-0.24Seahawks-0.13’25-0.17-0.11
Yards per play
Cardinals5.5’255.65.5Seahawks6.1’255.86.2
Passing yards
Cardinals256.1’25242.4277Seahawks236.8’25214.0200
Rushing yards
Cardinals93.1’2588.2116Seahawks124.3’25133.697
Explosive plays
Cardinals4.9’255.25Seahawks6.5’256.46
Giveaways
Cardinals1.2’251.00Seahawks1.4’250.00
Takeaways
Cardinals1.1’250.82Seahawks1.6’252.23
Sacks
Cardinals1.8’251.83Seahawks2.8’253.03
Sacks allowed
Cardinals3.5’253.01Seahawks1.6’252.02
Penalty yards
Cardinals49.5’2551.0111Seahawks43.6’2540.698
Points scored
Cardinals20.9’2519.826Seahawks29.2’2525.413
Points allowed
Cardinals28.7’2530.814Seahawks16.9’2511.810
Full-game team stats from nflverse after each week. Blue marks the stronger side in each column - fewer giveaways, sacks allowed, penalty yards and points allowed count as better, and a lower defensive EPA per play means the defence gave less away.
🚑Ins & Outs
Sam Darnold (QB) (Seahawks) out - lower body (soreness)Key out
Anthony Bradford (RG) (Seahawks) out - knee
Ty Okada (SS) (Seahawks) out - hamstring
Season form guide
CardinalsvsSeahawks
1-0Record1-0
4 in NFCConference6 in NFC
26.0Pts for /game13.0
14.0Pts against /game10.0
0-0Division0-0
Jacoby BrissettStarting QBDrew Lock
7 daysRest11 days
Predictions are statistical estimates built from public NFL data (ESPN, nflverse) for information only - not betting advice, and not derived from bookmaker odds. Past performance is not indicative of future results.