What's driving the pick
How the points should come
We expect this to stay close the whole way
Q1
6-7
Actual 0-7
Half
9-10
Actual 21-10
Q3
12-16
Actual 21-10
Final
21-21
Actual 27-24
Our points call for each side, spread over the game by when they have scored and conceded this season.
⚡Momentum
How each side has been playing, the season, the last 5 and the last game.
Browns
Steelers
Team Stats · Head to Head
How each side is actually playing - season form, the last 5, and their most recent game.
The stat map
CLE
PIT CLE PIT CLE PIT CLE PITAttack
Last 5Last gameDefence
Last 5Last gameBall security
Last 5Last gameDiscipline
Last 5Last gameFull-game team stats from nflverse, updated after each week.
🧮Factor breakdown
How each factor swings the projected margin. Built from ratings, efficiency, form, rest, the home field and who is out. Never from betting markets.
Bars show how far each factor swings the projected margin. Built from ELO ratings, expected points added per play on both sides of the ball, recent form, home field, rest days and the injury report - never from betting markets.
🏆Season form guide
BrownsSteelers
