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FormPicks
Completed ยท Pick missed

English Premier League ยท Matchday 4

Crystal Palace

12th ยท 2-1-3

Our pick

2-3

Ipswich Town

10th ยท 3-0-3

Our pick

Crystal Palace to win by the odd goal

  • Our ratings have them 14th in the league, Ipswich Town 19th.
  • Ipswich Town have lost 3 of their last 5.
  • Unlucky in front of goal lately - scoring well below what their chances deserve, so the goals should come.
  • Home advantage - in front of their own crowd.
  • Unlucky in front of goal - scoring well below what their chances deserve.
  • Playing better than their results show - the table undersells them.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Our read

Crystal Palace are the clear pick here. They're rated as a stronger side than Ipswich Town across the board, and playing at home gives them a real edge. The standout angle is their recent finishing - they're creating plenty but scoring well below what they deserve, so those goals should start flowing against a newly promoted side sat 19th in the ratings. Watch how much space Ipswich find in behind Palace's defence, because while Palace sit deep and give away chances, Ipswich will need to punish that ruthlessness to get anything from this. A 2-1 type of game feels right.

The other side ยท why the Ipswich Town could win

Crystal Palace give away more good chances than most sides in the league, and their deep defensive shape leaves space to exploit in transition. Ipswich Town thrive when they can turn defence into attack quickly. They win this if they stay compact and hit Palace on the counter.

  • Never out of it - won 2 games from level or behind at half-time.

What's driving the pick

โฑ๏ธ

How the goals should come

Expect it tight at the break, Crystal Palace should pull clear after half-time

Crystal PalaceโญIpswich Town
CRYIPSHT1-2FT2-30'
  • Crystal Palace score more of their goals after half-time than most sides

Our goals call for each side, spread over the game by when they have scored and conceded this season.

Momentum Meter

50 = league average

Crystal Palace

Last season38 games
Season3 games
Last 53 games
Last gamemost recent

Ipswich Town

Last seasonno data
Seasonnot played yet
Last 5not played yet
Last gamenot played yet

โš–๏ธHow the result shapes up

Crystal PalaceDrawIpswich Town

Relative likelihood of each result - home win, draw, away win. Wider = more likely. Never shown as a price.

Likely scorelines

Most likely

2-1

Crystal Palace

10%

1-1

Draw

9%

2-0

Crystal Palace

7%

The exact scores our numbers rate most likely, across all three results, with the chance of each. A match can land on dozens of scores, so even the leader is usually around one in eight, and it can be a draw score while we are on one side to win. Treat these as the shape of the game rather than a promise.

๐ŸงฎFactor breakdown

How far each factor swings the expected goal supremacy - team ratings, scoring rates, home and away splits, recent form, rest and home advantage.

โ—€ Crystal PalaceIpswich Town โ–ถ
Overall rating
Attack vs defence
Home/away form
Recent form
Rest & schedule
Home advantage

Bars show how far each factor swings the expected goal supremacy - built from team ratings, season scoring rates, home/away splits, recent form, rest days and home advantage. The final call is also cross-checked against market expectations where available.

Not available for this game: market odds, home/away splits.

๐Ÿ†Season form guide

Crystal Palace
Ipswich Town
Position1210
W-D-L2-1-33-0-3
Points79
Goals for / game1.51.5
Goals against / game2.02.0
Last 5โ€“โ€“

Predictions are statistical estimates built from public match data, cross-checked against market expectations where available - for information only, not betting advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.